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Latest Gallup numbers.
For those of you watching the polls on the horse race, this morning's Gallup numbers for Sep 3-5 show a Bush post-convention bounce leading Kerry 52% to 45% overall among likely voters.
Kerry still leads Bush 50% to 45% in the sixteen swing states. The poll with Nader in the equation also shows a Kerry lead of 50% to 45%. The margin of error in all three polls is 4%.
FYI.
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4% meaning they are leaning 4% towards the Democratic side to make people think Kerry is winning.. :tongue:
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Nobody who doesn't subscribe to Gallup or other polling services and look at the numbers in the swing states thinks Kerry is winning.
I also haven't found any source in the biased liberal media that says Kerry is winning.
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Good poll overview/comparison here: http://realclearpolitics.com/polls.html
By the way, I think I heard somewhere that no one has come back from an 11 point deficit (at least in September) to win the presidency. Kerry had better take Clinton's advice (i.e., shut the hell up about Vietnam) if he still wants to win. I would also advise him to avoid the topic of the war on terror in favor of bashing Bush on the economy, which is his only hope, in my opinion. Unfortunately for Kerry, that water is very muddy; there are some good economic indicators and some bad ones, so the case for Bush blowing the economy is certainly not an easy one to make.
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It's tough to keep a straight face while talking about strengthening the economy when you're proposing billions in new entitlement spending and raising taxes on the people who create jobs.
RE: Polls...by all means have fun with them. They'll likely shift up and down many times prior to election day so you'll have lots of fun stuff to look at.
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Another good site to keep track of the polls and current electoral count:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
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The latest Gallup numbers, since that seems to be the preferred poll.
Get back to me after the debates.
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Another helpful review of the poll numbers: http://slate.msn.com/id/2106527/